On Particle Methods for Parameter Estimation in State-Space Models

被引:282
|
作者
Kantas, Nikolas [1 ]
Doucet, Arnaud [2 ]
Singh, Sumeetpal S. [3 ]
Maciejowski, Jan [3 ]
Chopin, Nicolas [4 ]
机构
[1] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Dept Math, London SW7 2BZ, England
[2] Univ Oxford, Dept Stat, Oxford OX1 3TG, England
[3] Univ Cambridge, Dept Engn, Cambridge CB1 2PZ, England
[4] HEC Paris, CREST ENSAE, F-99245 Malakoff, France
基金
英国工程与自然科学研究理事会;
关键词
Bayesian inference; maximum likelihood inference; particle filtering; Sequential Monte Carlo; state-space models; CHAIN MONTE-CARLO; EXPECTATION-MAXIMIZATION ALGORITHM; MARKOV-CHAIN; LIKELIHOOD EVALUATION; BAYESIAN-ESTIMATION; INFERENCE; FILTER; SIMULATION; STABILITY; APPROXIMATION;
D O I
10.1214/14-STS511
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models are ubiquitous in statistics, econometrics, information engineering and signal processing. Particle methods, also known as Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, provide reliable numerical approximations to the associated state inference problems. However, in most applications, the state-space model of interest also depends on unknown static parameters that need to be estimated from the data. In this context, standard particle methods fail and it is necessary to rely on more sophisticated algorithms. The aim of this paper is to present a comprehensive review of particle methods that have been proposed to perform static parameter estimation in state-space models. We discuss the advantages and limitations of these methods and illustrate their performance on simple models.
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页码:328 / 351
页数:24
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