Using deep learning for short-term load forecasting

被引:30
作者
Bendaoud, Nadjib Mohamed Mehdi [1 ]
Farah, Nadir [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Badji Mokhtar Annaba, Dept Comp Sci, Labged Lab, Annaba, Algeria
关键词
Short-term load forecasting; Convolutional Neural Network; Deep learning; Artificial intelligence; FUNCTION APPROXIMATION; REGRESSION; MODELS;
D O I
10.1007/s00521-020-04856-0
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Electricity is the most important source of energy that is exploited nowadays; it is essential for the economic development and the social stability, and this implies the need to model systems that keeps a perfect balance between supply and demand. This task depends heavily on identifying the factors that affect power consumption and improving the precision of the forecasted model. This paper presents a novel convolutional neural network (CNN) for short-term load forecasting (STLF); studies have been conducted to identify the different factors that affect the power consumption in Algeria (North Africa), and these studies helped to determine the inputs to the model. The proposed CNN uses a two-dimensional input unlike the conventional one-dimensional input used for STLF, and the results given by the CNN were compared to other artificial intelligence methods and demonstrated good results for both: one-quarter-ahead and 24-h-ahead forecast.
引用
收藏
页码:15029 / 15041
页数:13
相关论文
共 44 条
[31]  
Nezzar MR, 2013, 2013 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON TECHNOLOGICAL ADVANCES IN ELECTRICAL, ELECTRONICS AND COMPUTER ENGINEERING (TAEECE), P121
[32]  
Papadopoulos S, 2015, IEEE POWER ENERG CON
[33]   ELECTRIC-LOAD FORECASTING USING AN ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK [J].
PARK, DC ;
ELSHARKAWI, MA ;
MARKS, RJ ;
ATLAS, LE ;
DAMBORG, MJ .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, 1991, 6 (02) :442-449
[34]   A STOCHASTIC APPROXIMATION METHOD [J].
ROBBINS, H ;
MONRO, S .
ANNALS OF MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1951, 22 (03) :400-407
[35]   Short-term load forecasting method based on fuzzy time series, seasonality and long memory process [J].
Sadaei, Hossein Javedani ;
Guimaraes, Frederico Gadelha ;
da Silva, Cidiney Jose ;
Lee, Muhammad Hisyam ;
Eslami, Tayyebeh .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPROXIMATE REASONING, 2017, 83 :196-217
[36]   New support vector algorithms [J].
Schölkopf, B ;
Smola, AJ ;
Williamson, RC ;
Bartlett, PL .
NEURAL COMPUTATION, 2000, 12 (05) :1207-1245
[37]  
Schölkopf B, 1999, ADV NEUR IN, V11, P330
[38]   Short-term forecasting of electricity demand for the residential sector using weather and social variables [J].
Son, Hyojoo ;
Kim, Changwan .
RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING, 2017, 123 :200-207
[39]  
Vapnik V, 1997, ADV NEUR IN, V9, P281
[40]   Statistic linear parametric techniques for residential electric energy demand forecasting. A review and an implementation to Chile [J].
Verdejo, Humberto ;
Awerkin, Almendra ;
Becker, Cristhian ;
Olguin, Gabriel .
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, 2017, 74 :512-521