APPLICATION OF MONTE CARLO SIMULATIONS IN ENTERPRISE PERFORMANCE FORECASTING

被引：0
作者：
Fabianova, Jana [1 ]
Janekova, Jaroslava [2 ]
Michalik, Peter [3 ]
机构：
[1] Tech Univ Kosice, Fac Min Ecol Proc Control & Geotechnol, Kosice, Slovakia
[2] Tech Univ Kosice, Fac Mech Engn, Kosice, Slovakia
[3] Tech Univ Kosice, Fac Mfg Technol, Presov, Slovakia
来源：
8TH CARPATHIAN LOGISTICS CONGRESS (CLC 2018) | 2019年
关键词：
Monte Carlo simulation; performance forecasting; risk analysis; PREDICTION; SELECTION; MODEL;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
C93 [管理学]; O22 [运筹学];
学科分类号：
070105 ; 12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要：
Forecasting of parameters of variable nature is always accompanied by a high degree of risk. Questionable reliability of such forecasts, and the effort to eliminate or reduce the impact of factors that adversely affect the accuracy of the forecast lead to the use of software tools utilised in the field of risk management. The article presents the application of Monte Carlo simulations in the development and analysis of the enterprise performance forecast. Analysis of simulation results points out what is the reliability of the forecast and what are the key risk factors.
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收藏
页码：422 / 428
页数：7
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