Runway Incursion Risk Assessment Based on the Monte Carlo Method

被引：0

作者：

Zhang, Z. N. ^{[1
]}

Zhang, Y. Q. ^{[1
]}

Gao, Z. ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Civil Aviat Univ China, Natl Key Lab Air Traff Operat Safety Technol, Tianjin, Peoples R China

[2] Tianjin Stn Air Traff Management, Tianjin, Peoples R China

来源：

INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ADVANCES IN MANAGEMENT ENGINEERING AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY (AMEIT 2015) | 2015年

关键词：

runway incursion risk assessment; objective factors; normal distribution; Monte Carlo method;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];

学科分类号：

0812 ;

摘要：

Runway incursion has become an important factor affecting the safe operation of the airport. This article focused on the changes of several objective factors that lead to the changes of the runway incursion risk probability. These factors are the initial position of the aircraft, aircrafts' type, and initial velocity of the aircraft and friction coefficient of the runway in different weather conditions. These factors obey different probability distributions, by using the Monte Carlo method to evaluate and eventually gave the effect of different factors on the risk of runway incursion under different weather conditions, by contrasting with the actual operation, the results showed that the assessment is feasible.

引用

页码：716 / 723

页数：8