Global land use for 2015-2100 at 0.05° resolution under diverse socioeconomic and climate scenarios

被引:149
作者
Chen, Min [1 ]
Vernon, Chris R. [2 ]
Graham, Neal T. [1 ]
Hejazi, Mohamad [1 ]
Huang, Maoyi [2 ,3 ]
Cheng, Yanyan [2 ]
Calvin, Katherine [1 ]
机构
[1] Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, Joint Global Change Res Inst, 5825 Univ Res Ct,Suite 3500, College Pk, MD 20740 USA
[2] Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, Atmospher Sci & Global Change Div, POB 999, Richland, WA 99352 USA
[3] NOAA, Off Sci & Technol Integrat, Natl Weather Serv, Silver Spring, MD USA
关键词
PLANT FUNCTIONAL TYPES; INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT; MODEL; COVER; IMPACT; UNCERTAINTY; CARBON;
D O I
10.1038/s41597-020-00669-x
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Global future land use (LU) is an important input for Earth system models for projecting Earth system dynamics and is critical for many modeling studies on future global change. Here we generated a new global gridded LU dataset using the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM) and a land use spatial downscaling model, named Demeter, under the five Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) scenarios. Compared to existing similar datasets, the presented dataset has a higher spatial resolution (0.05 degrees x 0.05 degrees) and spreads under a more comprehensive set of SSP-RCP scenarios (in total 15 scenarios), and considers uncertainties from the forcing climates. We compared our dataset with the Land Use Harmonization version 2 (LUH2) dataset and found our results are in general spatially consistent with LUH2. The presented dataset will be useful for global Earth system modeling studies, especially for the analysis of the impacts of land use and land cover change and socioeconomics, as well as the characterizing the uncertainties associated with these impacts.
引用
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页数:11
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