Estimation of the prevalence of asymptomatic pancreatic cysts in the population of San Marino

Background: There has been a dramatic increase in the number of pancreatic cystic lesions observed in the past two decades but data regarding the prevalence of cysts in the general population are lacking. Methods: All the individuals who undergo CT at the San Marino State Hospital are residents of the Republic of San Marino; their demographic distribution is available and precise. CT scans carried out over 1 year at the State Hospital were reviewed for asymptomatic pancreatic cysts. Results: 1061 relevant CT scans were carried out on 814 patients; 762 individuals were eligible for the study and 650 patients underwent contrast-enhanced CT. Thirty-five patients had at least one cyst at contrast-enhanced CT (5.4%). The prevalence of cysts increased with increasing age up to 13.4% (95% Cl 6.6-20) in individuals 80-89 years of age (p < .001). Cyst prevalence was significantly higher in patients who underwent CT for malignancy (p = .038) but this difference was no longer significant in multivariate analysis. The odds of a cyst being present increased by 1.05 (95% Cl 1.02-1.09) for each increasing year of age (p = .002). Approximately a quarter of the patients with cysts died within 1 year after CT from non pancreas-related disease. The estimated standardized age-adjusted cyst prevalence is 2194 per 100,000 people. Conclusions: The likelihood of having a pancreatic cyst correlates with increasing age, not with the presence of extra-pancreatic malignancies. The estimated prevalence of CT-detectable asymptomatic pancreatic cysts in the general population is 2.2%. Copyright (C) 2015, IAP and EPC. Published by Elsevier India, a division of Reed Elsevier India Pvt. Ltd. All rights reserved.