Adaptive Multidimensional Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System for Time Series Prediction

被引:9
作者
Velasquez, J. D. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Nacl Colombia, Sede Medellin, Colombia
关键词
Forecasting; artificial neural networks; nonlinear time series; ARIMA; ANFIS; MODEL;
D O I
10.1109/TLA.2015.7332151
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
This paper introduces a novel approach to forecast nonlinear time series using an adaptive multidimensional neuro-fuzzy inference system (AMNFIS), developed originally for processes control. In relation to other neuro-fuzzy systems, AMNFIS has a lower number of parameters avoiding the course of dimensionality. In addition, several strategies for fitting and model specification are discussed. In this paper, AMNFIS is used to forecast two well-known nonlinear time series and the results are compared against the forecasts obtained using the ARIMA approach and artificial neural networks. Empirical evidences indicate that AMNFIS is more accurate for forecasting the considered time series than the other two models.
引用
收藏
页码:2694 / 2699
页数:6
相关论文
共 24 条
[1]  
Alvarado H.Hernandez., 2004, El Agua Subterranea en La Laguna, Una Vision Retrospectiva, P1
[2]  
Alvarez H. D., 2001, INT C COMP INT MED C
[3]   Stock trading using RSPOP: A novel rough set-based neuro-fuzzy approach [J].
Ang, Kai Keng ;
Quek, Chai .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON NEURAL NETWORKS, 2006, 17 (05) :1301-1315
[4]  
[Anonymous], 2010, ANAL FINANCIAL TIME
[5]  
[Anonymous], 1998, Forecasting: Methods and applications
[6]  
[Anonymous], 1988, Non-linear and non-stationary time series analysis
[7]  
Frances P. H., 2003, NONLINEAR TIME SERIE
[8]   MULTIVARIATE ADAPTIVE REGRESSION SPLINES [J].
FRIEDMAN, JH .
ANNALS OF STATISTICS, 1991, 19 (01) :1-67
[9]   A dynamic artificial neural network model for forecasting time series events [J].
Ghiassi, M ;
Saidane, H ;
Zimbra, DK .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2005, 21 (02) :341-362
[10]   A dynamic architecture for artificial neural networks [J].
Ghiassi, M ;
Saidane, H .
NEUROCOMPUTING, 2005, 63 :397-413