Allais paradox in the small

被引:28
作者
Fan, CP [1 ]
机构
[1] Soochow Univ, Dept Econ, Sect I 56, Taipei, Taiwan
关键词
Allais paradox; experimental economics; expected utility theory;
D O I
10.1016/S0167-2681(02)00012-4
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Three small-payoff variants on the famous Allais paradox questions were presented to 202 subjects. For each variant, the probabilities were the sa-me as in the original Allais questions; only the payoffs differed. In one variant, the payoffs were proportional reductions of the original Allais payoffs,. For this variant, for both hypothetical and real payoffs, the Allais paradox behavior largely disappeared in favor of simple expected value maximization. A second variant involved negative payoffs; results were roughly the same. The third variant involved payoffs for which the lotteries had nearly the same expected values. Something closer to Allais paradox behavior was found for this variant when payoffs were real, but not when payoffs were hypothetical. Overall, behavior was closer to simple expected value maximization when payoffs were real than when they were hypothetical. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:411 / 421
页数:11
相关论文
共 8 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 1979, Expected Utility Hypotheses and the Allais Paradox, DOI [DOI 10.1007/978-94-015-7629-1, 10.1007/978-94-015-7629-1]
[2]  
Burke M.S., 1996, EMPIR ECON, V21, P617
[3]   IS THE ALLAIS PARADOX ROBUST TO A SEEMINGLY TRIVIAL CHANGE OF FRAME [J].
CARLIN, PS .
ECONOMICS LETTERS, 1990, 34 (03) :241-244
[4]  
CONLISK J, 1989, AM ECON REV, V79, P392
[5]   TESTING BAYES RULE AND THE REPRESENTATIVENESS HEURISTIC - SOME EXPERIMENTAL-EVIDENCE [J].
GRETHER, DM .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR & ORGANIZATION, 1992, 17 (01) :31-57
[6]   AN APPROXIMATE ANALYSIS OF ASYNCHRONOUS, PACKET-SWITCHED BUFFERED BANYAN NETWORKS WITH BLOCKING [J].
HARRISON, PG ;
PINTO, AD .
PERFORMANCE EVALUATION, 1994, 19 (2-3) :223-258
[7]  
KAGEL JH, 1990, AM ECON REV, V80, P912
[8]  
MACDONALD DN, 1989, Q J BUSINESS EC, V28, P43