Factors associated with Legionnaires' disease recurrence in hotel and holiday rental accommodation sites

Background: The detection of a cluster of travel-associated Legionnaires' disease (TALD) cases in any European Union/European Economic Area (EU/EEA) country prompts action at the accommodation, follow-up by health authorities and reporting of measures taken. Some accommodations incur further cases despite presumed implementation of adequate control measures. Aim: To identify factors associated with the occurrence of a further TALD case after the implementation of control measures. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of hotel and holiday rental accommodations in the EU/EEA associated with two or more TALD cases with onset dates less than 2 years apart (a 'cluster') and notification between 1 June 2011-31 December 2016. We fitted Cox regression models to estimate the association between accommodation characteristics and the occurrence of a further case, defined as any case with onset date after the report on measures taken. Results: Of the 357 accommodations in the analysis, 90 (25%) were associated with at least one further case after the report on measures taken (12.4/100 accommodation-years). Accommodations associated with two or more cases before the cluster notification were more likely to be associated with a further case, compared with those not previously associated with any case (adjusted hazard ratio 1.85; 95% confidence interval: 1.14-3.02). Neither the detection of Legionella in the water system nor the type of disinfection were found to be associated with the risk of a further case. Conclusion: Accommodation size and previous TALD cases were predictive of further Legionnaires' disease cases after implementation of control measures.