Building a bankable solar radiation dataset

被引:74
作者
Vignola, Frank [1 ,2 ]
Grover, Cathy [2 ]
Lemon, Nick [2 ]
McMahan, Andrew [2 ]
机构
[1] 1274 Univ Oregon, Solar Radiat Monitoring Lab, Eugene, OR 97403 USA
[2] Luminate LLC, Denver, CO 80202 USA
关键词
Solar radiation; Resource assessment; Financing; Generation; Probability; TMY; NSRDB;
D O I
10.1016/j.solener.2012.05.013
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
A robust solar radiation dataset is essential for securing competitive financing for solar power projects. The majority of solar radiation datasets are derived from publically available data, though there are an increasing number of proprietary datasets being developed and marketed. Most of these new datasets represent models based on satellite images and validated with ground measured data. This paper focuses on the strengths and weaknesses of the existing publically available solar radiation databases, though the commentary is equally relevant to the newer commercial datasets. While the financing community generally views the solar resource as stable, it also views the material miscalculation of the solar resource as one of the biggest risks in a solar project. Therefore, lenders and rating agencies alike require verification of the solar resource dataset to be utilized at each project location as this translates directly into electric energy production forecasts and revenues. The variability of the solar resource as exhibited by the historical solar data and the accuracy of the dataset play significant roles in estimating the probability of future performance and influences the financial contract that the project is likely to receive. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:2218 / 2229
页数:12
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