The epidemiological status of African swine fever in domestic swine herds in the Tavush Province region, Armenia

The factors associated with the spread and persistence of African swine fever (ASF) in the Caucasus region remain to be fully identified. It is assumed that large naive populations of domestic free-ranging and wild pigs are critical to disease transmission and maintenance. Nonetheless, 11 years since its epidemic introduction into the region in 2007, ASF virus (ASFV) is still circulating, suggesting that an endemic cycle has been established based on contact between free-ranging domestic pigs and wild pigs, and that native Ornithodoros ticks probably serve as reservoirs for the virus. Therefore, research is required to gather information on the epidemiological status of ASF in the Caucasus region, focusing particularly on understanding modes of ASFV spread and persistence in this new virus environment. The authors established an ASFV survey targeting domestic pigs in the Tavush province of northern Armenia, an area of the country considered to be at high risk of disease incursion/occurrence. All tested samples collected for this survey were negative for ASF. The probability of observing no reactors by antibody enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in a sample of this size (n = 1,506) from a population with an estimated disease prevalence of 1% is very low (< 0.0001). Therefore, it is possible but very unlikely for ASFV to be present among domestic pigs in the Tavush province region.