Qualitative analysis of an age-structured SEIR epidemic model with treatment

被引:25
|
作者
Safi, Mohammad A. [1 ]
Gumel, Abba B. [1 ]
Elbasha, Elamin H. [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Manitoba, Dept Math, Winnipeg, MB R3T 2N2, Canada
[2] Merck Res Labs, N Wales, PA 19454 USA
基金
加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会;
关键词
Age-structure; Abstract Cauchy problem; C-0-semigroup; Equilibria; Stability; MATHEMATICAL-THEORY; STABILITY; VACCINATION; THRESHOLD; DYNAMICS;
D O I
10.1016/j.amc.2013.03.126
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
A new age-structured model, which incorporates the use of treatment, is designed and qualitatively analysed. The model is, first of all, shown to be properly-posed mathematically by formulating it as an abstract Cauchy problem. For the case where the contact rate is separable (i.e., beta(a,b) = beta(1)(a)beta(2)(b)), it is shown that the disease-free equilibrium of the model is locally-and globally-asymptotically stable whenever a certain epidemiological threshold, denoted by R-0(s), is less than unity. Furthermore, the model has a unique endemic equilibrium when the threshold exceeds unity (this equilibrium is shown to be locally-asymptotically stable if another condition holds). For the case where the natural death and contact rates are constant (i.e., independent of age), the unique endemic equilibrium of the resulting model is shown, using Lyapunov function theory and LaSalle's Invariance Principle, to be globally-asymptotically stable when it exists. Furthermore, for this reduced version of the model (with constant natural death and contact rates), it is shown that the use of treatment could offer positive or negative population-level impact, depending on the size of the parameter associated with the reduction of infectiousness of treated individuals. (C) 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:10627 / 10642
页数:16
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