Age and Meniscal Extrusion Are Determining Factors of Osteoarthritis Progression after Conservative Treatments for Medial Meniscus Posterior Root Tear

Background: With a growing understanding of biomechanical disadvantages following medial meniscus posterior root tear (MMPRT), recent studies have focused on surgical repair of MMPRT. Because not all tears are repairable, surgical indications can be properly established when the outcomes of conservative treatments are revealed. This study tried to identify risk factors for osteoarthritis progression after conservative treatments for isolated MMPRT. Materials & Methods: Patients who had conservative treatments for isolated MMPRT during 2013-2016 were retrospectively reviewed. To evaluate osteoarthritis progression, those who were followed up for <= 3 years and those who already showed advanced osteoarthritis of Kellgren--Lawrence (K-L) grade 4 at the time of diagnosis were excluded. Because patients with varus malalignment were candidates for realignment osteotomy, conservative treatments for MMPRT were applied to patients with well-aligned knees. Osteoarthritis progression was determined based on the K-L grading system, and risk factors including age, sex, body mass index, lower limb alignment, preoperative K-L grade, meniscal extrusion, and the presence of subchondral bone marrow lesion (BML) were analyzed using logistic regression analyses. Results: A total of 42 patients were followed up for 57.4 +/- 26.8 months. During that period, osteoarthritis progression was noted in 17 (40.5%) patients. Based on univariate analyses for each risk factor, age, meniscal extrusion, and the presence of subchondral BML were included in the multivariate logistic regression analysis. The results showed that age (p = 0.028, odds ratio = 0.87) and meniscal extrusion (p = 0.013, odds ratio = 9.65) were significant risk factors. A receiver operating characteristic curve found that the cutoff age was 63.5 years, with the area under the curve being 0.72 (sensitivity, 68.0%; specificity, 70.6%). Conclusions: About two-fifths of patients who had conservative treatments for MMPRT underwent osteoarthritis progression in the mid to long term. Age and meniscal extrusion were determining factors of osteoarthritis progression. The risk for osteoarthritis progression was decreased when the age of patients was over 63.5 years.