Constrained maximum variance stopping for a finite horizon increasing random walk

被引:0
作者
Fontem, Belleh [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Massachusetts Lowell, Manning Sch Business, Lowell, MA 01854 USA
关键词
Optimal control; Nonlinear optimal stopping; Random walk; Constrained variance maximization; Risk management;
D O I
10.1016/j.orl.2020.05.014
中图分类号
C93 [管理学]; O22 [运筹学];
学科分类号
070105 ; 12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
We derive the optimal solution for the problem of choosing a non-anticipative decision rule to maximize the stopping variance of a finite horizon, increasing random walk subject to a distributional constraint, as well as an explicit upper limit on the variance of the walk's stopping state. Problems of this caliber arise as subproblems for risk-constrained versions of standard stopping problems in areas including, for instance, market entry decision-making. A numerical example verifies the main result. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:493 / 499
页数:7
相关论文
共 14 条
[1]   Dynamic optimality in optimal variance stopping problems [J].
Buonaguidi, B. .
STATISTICS & PROBABILITY LETTERS, 2018, 141 :103-108
[2]   A REMARK ON OPTIMAL VARIANCE STOPPING PROBLEMS [J].
Buonaguidi, Bruno .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY, 2015, 52 (04) :1187-1194
[3]   Good timing: The economics of optimal stopping [J].
Davis, Graham A. ;
Cairns, Robert D. .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL, 2012, 36 (02) :255-265
[4]   An optimal stopping problem with a reward constraint [J].
Detemple, Jerome ;
Tian, Weidong ;
Xiong, Jie .
FINANCE AND STOCHASTICS, 2012, 16 (03) :423-448
[5]   Dynamic switching times from season to single tickets in sports and entertainment [J].
Duran, Serhan ;
Swann, Julie L. ;
Yakici, Ertan .
OPTIMIZATION LETTERS, 2012, 6 (06) :1185-1206
[6]   An optimal stopping policy for car rental businesses with purchasing customers [J].
Fontem, Belleh .
ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH, 2022, 317 (01) :47-76
[7]  
Gad K.S.T., 2016, ARXIV161209167V1
[8]  
Gad KST, 2015, ADV APPL PROBAB, V47, P128
[9]   Optimal stopping with private information [J].
Kruse, Thomas ;
Strack, Philipp .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC THEORY, 2015, 159 :702-727
[10]  
Lalley S., 2019, WINTER 2019