The impact of agricultural input costs on food prices in Turkey: A case study

被引：17

作者：

Isik, Sefa ^{[1
]}

Ozbugday, Fatih Cemil ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Ankara Yildirim Beyazit Univ, Inst Social Sci, Dept Econ, Ankara, Turkey

[2] Ankara Yildirim Beyazit Univ, Fac Polit Sci, Dept Econ, Ankara, Turkey

来源：

AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS-ZEMEDELSKA EKONOMIKA | 2021年 / 67卷 / 03期

关键词：

autoregressive-distributed lag (ARDL); food inflation; fully modified ordinary least square (FMOLS); structural breaks; time series analysis;

D O I：

10.17221/260/2020-AGRICECON

中图分类号：

F3 [农业经济];

学科分类号：

0202 ; 020205 ; 1203 ;

摘要：

Food price inflation has been a significant subject of debate in Turkey since food prices soared in 2018. The study examines the linkage between agricultural input prices and food prices in Turkey by using quantitative method approaches with the monthly data spanning from 2015-M01 to 2020-M01. A co-integration analysis is performed using the autoregressive-distributed lag (ARDL) bounds test approach and Maki co-integration test with structural breaks. Additionally, the fully modified ordinary least square (FMOLS), dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS), and canonical co-integrating regression (CCR) are applied to verify the results of the ARDL approach. The analysis demonstrates a significant, long-running relationship between agricultural input prices and food prices in Turkey. The long-run agricultural input price elasticities are found to be in the range of 1.30-1.36.

引用

页码：101 / 110

页数：10

共 21 条

[21] Time series analysis and impact assessment of the temperature changes on the vegetation and the water availability: A case study of Bakun-Murum Catchment Region in Malaysia [J].

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Khan, Nabeel Ali ;

Ashraf, Shahzad ;

Nawaz, Rab ;

Elnashar, Abdelrazek ;

Saad, Syed ;

Qureshi, Abdul Hannan .

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