The effects of regional climatic condition on the spread of COVID-19 at global scale

被引:78
作者
Iqbal, Muhammad Mazhar [1 ]
Abid, Irfan [1 ]
Hussain, Saddam [2 ]
Shahzad, Naeem [1 ]
Waqas, Muhammad Sohail [3 ]
Iqbal, Muhammad Jawed [1 ]
机构
[1] Natl Univ Sci & Technol NUST, Islamabad, Pakistan
[2] Univ Agr Faisalabad, Dept Irrigat & Drainage, Faisalabad, Pakistan
[3] Govt Punjab, Soil Conservat Grp, Agr Dept Field Wing, Lahore, Pakistan
关键词
COVID-19; Regional climate; Average high temperature; Average low temperature; Daylight hours; RESPIRATORY SYNCYTIAL VIRUS; INFLUENZA-VIRUS; ZIKA VIRUS; CORONAVIRUS; MERS; TRANSMISSION; TEMPERATE; SCENARIOS; EVOLUTION; OUTBREAK;
D O I
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140101
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
The pandemic outbreak of the novel coronavirus epidemic disease (COVID-19) is spreading like a diffusion-reaction in the world and almost 208 countries and territories are being affected around the globe. It became a sever health and socio-economic problem, while the world has no vaccine to combat this virus. This research aims to analyze the connection between the fast spread of COVID-19 and regional climate parameters over a global scale. In this research, we collected the data of COVID-19 cases from the time of 1st reported case to the 5th June 2020 in different affected countries and regional climatic parameters data from January 2020 to 5th June 2020. It was found that most of the countries located in the relatively lower temperature region show a rapid increase in the COVID-19 cases than the countries locating in the warmer climatic regions despite their better socio-economic conditions. A correlation between metrological parameters and COVID-19 cases was observed. Average daylight hours are correlated to total the COVID-19 cases with a coefficient of determination of 0.42, while average high-temperature shows a correlation of 0.59 and 0.42 with total COVID-19 cases and death cases respectively. The finding of the study will help international health organizations and local administrations to combat and well manage the spread of COVID-19. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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页数:9
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