Evaluating the role of resilience in reducing economic losses from disasters: A multi-regional analysis of a seaport disruption

被引:27
作者
Wei, Dan [1 ]
Chen, Zhenhua [2 ]
Rose, Adam [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Southern Calif, Ctr Risk & Econ Anal Terrorism Events, Sol Price Sch Publ Policy, 379C VKC,3518 Trousdale Pkwy, Los Angeles, CA 90089 USA
[2] Ohio State Univ, Knowlton Sch Architecture, City & Reg Planning, 275 W Woodruff Ave, Columbus, OH 43210 USA
[3] Univ Southern Calif, Ctr Risk & Econ Anal Terrorism Events, Sol Price Sch Publ Policy, 1150 S Olive St,Suite 1700, Los Angeles, CA 90015 USA
关键词
computable general equilibrium analysis; economic consequence analysis; port disruptions; resilience to disasters; spatial reallocation of resources; CONSEQUENCES; IMPACTS; RECOVERY; SHUTDOWN; ANGELES; SYSTEM; COSTS; MODEL; RISK; US;
D O I
10.1111/pirs.12553
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Models to estimate economic impacts of disasters have recently been augmented to include resilience. However, most research has incorporated only a limited set of resilience tactics and has not estimated their individual loss reduction effect. We present a comprehensive framework for estimating the relative effects of a broad set of post-disaster resilience tactics. Our methodological innovation is illustrated by adapting the TERM multi-regional CGE model for a seaport disruption, distinguishing inherent resilience working through the price system from adaptive resilience and other inherent tactics to cope with input shortages. We also overcome a path-dependency problem in the modelling process.
引用
收藏
页码:1691 / 1722
页数:32
相关论文
共 67 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], NAT HAZARDS REV
[2]  
ATC (Applied Technology Council), 1991, ATC25
[3]  
Blake J, 2017, ANN CONF PROTECT REL
[4]   Trade elasticity of substitution and equilibrium dynamics [J].
Bodenstein, Martin .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC THEORY, 2010, 145 (03) :1033-1059
[5]   The political, economic, and social aspects of Katrina [J].
Boettke, Peter ;
Chamlee-Wright, Emily ;
Gordon, Peter ;
Ikeda, Sanford ;
Leeson, Peter T. ;
Sobel, Russell .
SOUTHERN ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 2007, 74 (02) :363-376
[6]   Could it happen here? [J].
Borrero, J ;
Cho, SB ;
Moore, JE ;
Richardson, HW ;
Synolakis, C .
CIVIL ENGINEERING, 2005, 75 (04) :54-+
[7]   A framework to quantitatively assess and enhance the seismic resilience of communities [J].
Bruneau, M ;
Chang, SE ;
Eguchi, RT ;
Lee, GC ;
O'Rourke, TD ;
Reinhorn, AM ;
Shinozuka, M ;
Tierney, K ;
Wallace, WA ;
von Winterfeldt, D .
EARTHQUAKE SPECTRA, 2003, 19 (04) :733-752
[8]  
Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2016, 2014 REAL INV SAL DA
[9]  
*CBO, 2006, EC COSTS DISR CONT S
[10]  
Chang S.E., 2000, J TRANSPORT GEOGR, V8, P53