Regression Analysis of Dynamics of Insecticide Resistance in Field Populations of Chilo suppressalis (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) During 2002-2011 in China

To understand the evolution of insecticide resistance in the Asiatic rice borer, Chilo suppressalis (Walker) (Lepidoptera: Crambidae), in field, regression analysis based on a linear or nonlinear model was adopted for analyzing resistance dynamics to six insecticides of two field populations of the Lianyungang (LYG) and Ruian (RA) populations during 2002-2011. For the low-level resistance population, LYG population, sustained susceptibilities to abamectin and fipronil were seen for 10 yr; a polynomial curve regression model showed an increase in resistance to chlorpyrifos; exponential growth models fit to the resistance dynamics to triazophos and deltamethrin, and a sigmoidal growth curve for monosultap. For the high-level multiple resistance population, RA population, a slight increase from susceptible to a minor resistance to abamectin could be modeled by a polynomial cubic equation; an exponential growth model fit to the increase of resistance to fipronil from 8.7-fold to 33.6-fold; a sine waveform model fit to the vibrating tendency of resistance to chlorpyrifos; the dynamics of resistance to triazophos could be modeled by two combined curves, with a polynomial growth model and a sine waveform model; the high level of resistance to monosultap could be modeled with a sine waveform model; and a significant linear growth relationship of the resistance to deltamethrin of the RA population over years was found. Then, the relationship between dynamics of resistance development to insecticides among the field populations of C. suppressalis and the application history of pesticides for controlling rice borers was discussed.