unit root;
nonlinear shift;
autoregressive process;
D O I:
10.1111/1467-9892.00285
中图分类号:
O1 [数学];
学科分类号:
0701 ;
070101 ;
摘要:
Unit root tests are considered for time series Which have a level shift at a known point in time. The shift can have a very general nonlinear form, and additional deterministic mean and trend terms are allowed for. Prior to the tests, the deterministic parts and other nuisance parameters of the data generation process are estimated in a first step., Then, the series are adjusted for these terms and unit root tests of the Dickey-Fuller type are applied to the adjusted series. The properties of previously suggested tests of this sort are analysed and modifications are proposed which take into account estimation errors in the nuisance parameters. An important result is that estimation under the null hypothesis is preferable to estimation under local alternatives. This contrasts with results obtained by other authors for time series without level shifts.
机构:
Univ Alabama, Dept Econ Finance & Legal Studies, Tuscaloosa, AL 35487 USAUniv Alabama, Dept Econ Finance & Legal Studies, Tuscaloosa, AL 35487 USA
Lee, Junsoo
Tieslau, Margie
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机构:
Univ North Texas, Dept Econ, 1155 Union Circle 311457, Denton, TX 76203 USAUniv Alabama, Dept Econ Finance & Legal Studies, Tuscaloosa, AL 35487 USA