Habit Formation in Voting: Evidence from Rainy Elections

被引：95

作者：

Fujiwara, Thomas ^{[1
]}

Meng, Kyle ^{[2
,3
]}

Vogl, Tom ^{[4
,5
]}

机构：

[1] Princeton Univ, Dept Econ, 357 Wallace Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA

[2] Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Bren Sch, 4416 Bren Hall, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA

[3] Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Dept Econ, 4416 Bren Hall, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA

[4] Princeton Univ, Woodrow Wilson Sch, 363 Wallace Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA

[5] Princeton Univ, Dept Econ, 363 Wallace Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA

来源：

AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-APPLIED ECONOMICS | 2016年 / 8卷 / 04期

关键词：

VOTER TURNOUT; POLITICAL-PARTICIPATION; FIELD EXPERIMENT; NEWSPAPER ENTRY; BEHAVIOR; WEATHER; PERSISTENCE; INCENTIVES; MIGRATION; ALTRUISM;

D O I：

10.1257/app.20140533

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

We estimate habit formation in voting-the effect of past on current turnout-by exploiting transitory voting cost shocks. Using county-level data on US presidential elections from 1952-2012, we find that rainfall on current and past election days reduces voter turnout. Our estimates imply that a 1-point decrease in past turnout lowers current turnout by 0.6-1.0 points. Further analyses suggest that habit formation operates by reinforcing the direct consumption value of voting and that our estimates may be amplified by social spillovers.

引用

页码：160 / 188

页数：29

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