Habit Formation in Voting: Evidence from Rainy Elections

被引：91
作者：
Fujiwara, Thomas [1 ]
Meng, Kyle [2 ,3 ]
Vogl, Tom [4 ,5 ]
机构：
[1] Princeton Univ, Dept Econ, 357 Wallace Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[2] Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Bren Sch, 4416 Bren Hall, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA
[3] Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Dept Econ, 4416 Bren Hall, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA
[4] Princeton Univ, Woodrow Wilson Sch, 363 Wallace Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[5] Princeton Univ, Dept Econ, 363 Wallace Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
来源：
AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-APPLIED ECONOMICS | 2016年 / 8卷 / 04期
关键词：
VOTER TURNOUT; POLITICAL-PARTICIPATION; FIELD EXPERIMENT; NEWSPAPER ENTRY; BEHAVIOR; WEATHER; PERSISTENCE; INCENTIVES; MIGRATION; ALTRUISM;
D O I：
10.1257/app.20140533
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
We estimate habit formation in voting-the effect of past on current turnout-by exploiting transitory voting cost shocks. Using county-level data on US presidential elections from 1952-2012, we find that rainfall on current and past election days reduces voter turnout. Our estimates imply that a 1-point decrease in past turnout lowers current turnout by 0.6-1.0 points. Further analyses suggest that habit formation operates by reinforcing the direct consumption value of voting and that our estimates may be amplified by social spillovers.
引用
收藏
页码：160 / 188
页数：29
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