A controllable laboratory stock market for modeling real stock markets

被引:4
作者
An, Kenan [1 ]
Li, Xiaohui
Yang, Guang
Huang, Jiping
机构
[1] Fudan Univ, Dept Phys, Shanghai 200433, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
EFFICIENCY; FLUCTUATIONS; DYNAMICS; BEHAVIOR;
D O I
10.1140/epjb/e2013-40640-y
中图分类号
O469 [凝聚态物理学];
学科分类号
070205 ;
摘要
Based on the different research approaches, econophysics can be divided into three directions: empirical econophysics, computational econophysics, and experimental econophysics. Because empirical econophysics lacks controllability that is needed to study the impacts of different external conditions and computational econophysics has to adopt artificial decision-making processes that are often deviated from those of real humans, experimental econophysics tends to overcome these problems by offering controllability and using real humans in laboratory experiments. However, to our knowledge, the existing laboratory experiments have not convincingly reappeared the stylized facts (say, scaling) that have been revealed for real economic/financial markets by econophysicists. A most important reason is that in these experiments, discrete trading time makes these laboratory markets deviated from real markets where trading time is naturally continuous. Here we attempt to overcome this problem by designing a continuous double-auction stock-trading market and conducting several human experiments in laboratory. As an initial work, the present artificial financial market can reproduce some stylized facts related to clustering and scaling. Also, it predicts some other scaling in human behavior dynamics that is hard to achieve in real markets due to the difficulty in getting the data. Thus, it becomes possible to study real stock markets by conducting controlled experiments on such laboratory stock markets producing high frequency data.
引用
收藏
页数:8
相关论文
共 29 条
  • [1] ARTHUR WB, 1994, AM ECON REV, V84, P406
  • [2] The origin of bursts and heavy tails in human dynamics
    Barabási, AL
    [J]. NATURE, 2005, 435 (7039) : 207 - 211
  • [3] On the minority game: Analytical and numerical studies
    Challet, D
    Zhang, YC
    [J]. PHYSICA A, 1998, 256 (3-4): : 514 - 532
  • [4] Emergence of cooperation and organization in an evolutionary game
    Challet, D
    Zhang, YC
    [J]. PHYSICA A, 1997, 246 (3-4): : 407 - 418
  • [5] HOW TRADING INSTITUTIONS AFFECT FINANCIAL MARKET PERFORMANCE - SOME LABORATORY EVIDENCE
    FRIEDMAN, D
    [J]. ECONOMIC INQUIRY, 1993, 31 (03) : 410 - 435
  • [6] A theory of power-law distributions in financial market fluctuations
    Gabaix, X
    Gopikrishnan, P
    Plerou, V
    Stanley, HE
    [J]. NATURE, 2003, 423 (6937) : 267 - 270
  • [7] Scaling of the distribution of fluctuations of financial market indices
    Gopikrishnan, P
    Plerou, V
    Amaral, LAN
    Meyer, M
    Stanley, HE
    [J]. PHYSICAL REVIEW E, 1999, 60 (05): : 5305 - 5316
  • [8] Properties of on-line social systems
    Grabowski, A.
    Kruszewska, N.
    Kosinski, R. A.
    [J]. EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL B, 2008, 66 (01) : 107 - 113
  • [9] Price bubbles sans dividend anchors: Evidence from laboratory stock markets
    Hirota, Shinichi
    Sunder, Shyam
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL, 2007, 31 (06) : 1875 - 1909
  • [10] Kagel J.H., 1995, HDB EXPT EC