Study of transmission dynamics of novel COVID-19 by using mathematical model

被引:44
作者
Din, Rahim Ud [1 ]
Shah, Kamal [1 ]
Ahmad, Imtiaz [1 ]
Abdeljawad, Thabet [2 ,3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Malakand, Dept Math, Dir L, Khyber Pakhtunk, Pakistan
[2] Prince Sultan Univ, Dept Math & Gen Sci, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
[3] China Med Univ, Dept Med Res, Taichung 40402, Taiwan
[4] Asia Univ, Dept Comp Sci & Informat Engn, Taichung, Taiwan
关键词
Mathematical model; Novel coronavirus-19; Nonstandard finite difference scheme; Immigration rate; CORONAVIRUS; OUTBREAK; WUHAN;
D O I
10.1186/s13662-020-02783-x
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
In this research work, we present a mathematical model for novel coronavirus-19 infectious disease which consists of three different compartments: susceptible, infected, and recovered under convex incident rate involving immigration rate. We first derive the formulation of the model. Also, we give some qualitative aspects for the model including existence of equilibriums and its stability results by using various tools of nonlinear analysis. Then, by means of the nonstandard finite difference scheme (NSFD), we simulate the results for the data of Wuhan city against two different sets of values of immigration parameter. By means of simulation, we show how protection, exposure, death, and cure rates affect the susceptible, infected, and recovered population with the passage of time involving immigration. On the basis of simulation, we observe the dynamical behavior due to immigration of susceptible and infected classes or one of these two.
引用
收藏
页数:13
相关论文
共 31 条
[1]   On a comprehensive model of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) under Mittag-Leffler derivative [J].
Abdo, Mohammed S. ;
Shah, Kamal ;
Wahash, Hanan A. ;
Panchal, Satish K. .
CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS, 2020, 135
[2]  
[Anonymous], 2015, ARTERIOSCL THROM VAS, DOI [10.1038/s41586-022-05363-z, DOI 10.1038/s41586-020-2012-7]
[3]  
[Anonymous], 2020, CORONAVIRUS COVID 19
[5]   Fractional discretization: The African's tortoise walk [J].
Atangana, Abdon .
CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS, 2020, 130 (130)
[6]   On the dynamics of an SEIR epidemic model with a convex incidence rate [J].
Buonomo B. ;
Lacitignola D. .
Ricerche di Matematica, 2008, 57 (2) :261-281
[7]   Genomic characterization of the 2019 novel human-pathogenic coronavirus isolated from a patient with atypical pneumonia after visiting Wuhan [J].
Chan, Jasper Fuk-Woo ;
Kok, Kin-Hang ;
Zhu, Zheng ;
Chu, Hin ;
To, Kelvin Kai-Wang ;
Yuan, Shuofeng ;
Yuen, Kwok-Yung .
EMERGING MICROBES & INFECTIONS, 2020, 9 (01) :221-236
[8]   A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus [J].
Chen, Tian-Mu ;
Rui, Jia ;
Wang, Qiu-Peng ;
Zhao, Ze-Yu ;
Cui, Jing-An ;
Yin, Ling .
INFECTIOUS DISEASES OF POVERTY, 2020, 9 (01)
[9]   Molecular mechanisms of coronavirus RNA capping and methylation [J].
Chen, Yu ;
Guo, Deyin .
VIROLOGICA SINICA, 2016, 31 (01) :3-11
[10]   Mathematical analysis of a fractional differential model of HBV infection with antibody immune response [J].
Danane, Jaouad ;
Allali, Karam ;
Hammouch, Zakia .
CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS, 2020, 136