Evolution Pattern Discovery and Case Study of Logistics Companies Based on Time Series Analysis

被引:0
作者
Yang, Bin [1 ]
Wu, Xianbing [1 ]
Hu, Zhihua [1 ]
机构
[1] Shanghai Maritime Univ, Logist Res Ctr, Shanghai 200135, Peoples R China
来源
ADVANCED MECHANICAL ENGINEERING, PTS 1 AND 2 | 2010年 / 26-28卷
关键词
logistics demand forecasting; time series analysis; freight shipping companies; GM(1,1); prediction;
D O I
10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.26-28.1099
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
Accurate demand forecasts are critical for logistics enterprises to improve the efficiency of their resource usage. Demand forecasts of logistics enterprises are closely related to the overall social environment, local economic development, related industries development, seasonal demand change, and the development of the enterprises. Therefore, a direct analytical model is difficult to obtain. Based on the analysis of the historical data of a typical shipping company, this paper presents a time series prediction model for logistics enterprises in the goods traffic forecasts, and through experimental analysis and comparison study, it found that the method proposed in this paper has higher prediction accuracy. Thus, the proposed model can be used to forecast the demand of the freight transport companies and has a spread value.
引用
收藏
页码:1099 / 1103
页数:5
相关论文
共 5 条