Dynamic study of SIAISQVR - B fractional-order cholera model with control strategies in Cameroon Far North Region

被引:6
|
作者
Nguiwa, Tchule [1 ]
Kolaye, Gabriel Guilsou [2 ]
Justin, Mibaile [3 ]
Moussa, Djaouda [4 ]
Betchewe, Gambo [1 ]
Mohamadou, Alidou [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Maroua, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, POB 814, Maroua, Cameroon
[2] Univ Ngaoundere, Fac Sci, Dept Math & Comp Sci, POB 454, Ngaoundere, Cameroon
[3] Univ Maroua, Higher Teachers Training Coll Maroua, Dept Phys, POB 55, Maroua, Cameroon
[4] Univ Maroua, Higher Teachers Training Coll Maroua, Dept Life & Earth Sci, POB 55, Maroua, Cameroon
关键词
Cholera; Stability; Basic reproduction number; Optimal control; Fractional order; EPIDEMIC MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.chaos.2021.110702
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
In this work, mathematical SI(A)I(S)QVR - B fractional-order cholera model is investigated. We provide a theoretical study of the model. We derive the basic reproduction number R-0 which determines the extinction and the persistence of the infection. We show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable whenever R-0 <= 1, while when R-0 > 1, the disease-free equilibrium is unstable and there exists a unique endemic equilibrium point which is locally asymptotically stable on a positively invariant region of the positive orthant. Using the sensitivity analysis, we find that the parameters related to the vaccination and therapeutic treatment are more influencing the model. Theoretical results are supported by numerical simulations by means of fde12 solver, which further suggest using of vaccination in endemic area. We observe from Fig. 4 that, extinction of disease can occur with vaccination of susceptible individuals for phi > 0.6. In case of lack of necessary funding to fight again cholera, Fig. 3 revealed that efforts should focus to keep contamination rates sigma < 0.09 and beta < 0.09 in other to die out with success the disease. (C) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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页数:19
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