Self-organized segregation of traders within a market

被引:3
|
作者
Johnson, NF [1 ]
Hui, PM
Lo, TS
机构
[1] Univ Oxford, Dept Phys, Parks Rd, Oxford OX1 3PU, England
[2] Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Dept Phys, Shatin, New Territories, Peoples R China
关键词
evolutionary dynamics; competitive market; microstructure; strategies; bounded rationality; trading;
D O I
10.1098/rsta.1999.0413
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
We study a simple competitive market, in which individual traders adapt their trading strategies according to past experience. Because of the limited knowledge available to them, they are forced to make decisions based on inductive, rather than deductive, thinking. We show that a population of competing traders with similar capabilities and knowledge will tend to self-segregate into opposing groups characterized by extreme behaviour. To be successful, a trader should behave in an extreme way, by either always copying or rejecting past trends in the market's history. Cautious traders tend to perform poorly.
引用
收藏
页码:2013 / 2018
页数:6
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