Sympathy for the 'devil'? Voting for populists in the 2006 and 2010 Dutch general elections

被引:91
作者
Schumacher, Gijs [1 ,2 ]
Rooduijn, Matthijs [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Southern Denmark, DK-5000 Odense M, Denmark
[2] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands
[3] Univ Amsterdam, NL-1012 WX Amsterdam, Netherlands
关键词
Populism; Voting behavior; Simulation; ANTI-IMMIGRANT PARTIES; VOTERS; EUROPE; MODELS; DISCOURSE;
D O I
10.1016/j.electstud.2012.11.003
中图分类号
D0 [政治学、政治理论];
学科分类号
0302 ; 030201 ;
摘要
What motivations do voters have to vote for populist parties? How do their motivations differ from those of voters for mainstream parties? Analyzing new empirical material - the Dutch elections of 2006 and 2010 - we demonstrate that policy preferences, protest attitudes and evaluations of party leaders are important reasons to vote for populist parties. Yet only protest attitudes distinguish voters for populist parties from voters for mainstream parties; evaluations of party leaders turn out to be equally important for both. We theorize how protest attitudes and party leader evaluations overlap and employ an exploratory simulation technique to test this. We find that populist parties differ strongly from each other with regard to the specific patchwork of motivations of their voters. Crown Copyright (C) 2012 Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:124 / 133
页数:10
相关论文
共 46 条
[1]   Dutch voters and the changing party space 1989-2006 [J].
Aarts, Kees ;
Thomassen, Jacques .
ACTA POLITICA, 2008, 43 (2-3) :203-234
[2]   When politics and models collide: Estimating models of multiparty elections [J].
Alvarez, RM ;
Nagler, J .
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF POLITICAL SCIENCE, 1998, 42 (01) :55-96
[3]   Explaining the rise of the LPF:: Issues, discontent, and the 2002 Dutch election [J].
Bélanger, E ;
Aarts, K .
ACTA POLITICA, 2006, 41 (01) :4-20
[4]  
Betz Hans-Georg., 1994, RADICAL RIGHT WING P
[5]   Media coverage of right-wing populist leaders [J].
Bos, Linda ;
van der Brug, Wouter ;
de Vreese, Claes .
COMMUNICATIONS-EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF COMMUNICATION RESEARCH, 2010, 35 (02) :141-163
[6]  
Brettschneider F., 2006, German Politics, Volume, V15, Number, P481, DOI DOI 10.1080/09644000601062667
[7]  
Canovan Margaret., 1981, POPULISM
[8]  
De Lange S.L., 2011, DEMOCRATIE DOORGELIC
[9]  
de Vries Cathrine, 2011, MODELLING ELECTORAL
[10]   Multinomial probit and multinomial logit: a comparison of choice models for voting research [J].
Dow, JK ;
Endersby, JW .
ELECTORAL STUDIES, 2004, 23 (01) :107-122