How long to own and how much to use a car? A dynamic discrete choice model to explain holding duration and driven mileage

被引：8

作者：

de Lapparent, Matthieu ^{[1
,2
]}

Cernicchiaro, Giulia ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Paris Est, Inst Francais Sci & Technol Transports Amenagemen, Dept Econ & Sociol Transports, F-93166 Noisy Le Grand, France

[2] Ecole Normale Super, Dept Econ & Gest, F-94235 Cachan, France

来源：

ECONOMIC MODELLING | 2012年 / 29卷 / 05期

关键词：

Dynamic discrete choice; Car ownership and use; Fuel price; Income; DEMAND; ELASTICITIES; OWNERSHIP;

D O I：

10.1016/j.econmod.2012.05.018

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

We develop a dynamic discrete choice model of car holding duration and use for French households owning only one car over the 2000-2007 period. We consider income, fuel prices and cumulated mileage as stochastic state variables. It is found that accounting for forward-looking economic agents greatly improves the understanding of the underlying logic that drives such choices whenever theoretical assumptions and used data may appear as a sketchy description of a more complex reality. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：1737 / 1744

页数：8