Constructing prediction intervals for landslide displacement using bootstrapping random vector functional link networks selective ensemble with neural networks switched

被引:50
作者
Lian, Cheng [1 ]
Zhu, Lingzi [1 ]
Zeng, Zhigang [2 ]
Su, Yixin [1 ]
Yao, Wei [3 ]
Tang, Huiming [4 ]
机构
[1] Wuhan Univ Technol, Sch Automat, Wuhan 430074, Hubei, Peoples R China
[2] Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Automat, Wuhan 430074, Hubei, Peoples R China
[3] South Cent Univ Nationalities, Sch Comp Sci, Wuhan 430074, Hubei, Peoples R China
[4] China Univ Geosci, Fac Engn, Wuhan 430074, Hubei, Peoples R China
基金
国家重点研发计划;
关键词
Prediction intervals; Random vector functional link network; Landslide displacement prediction; Selective ensemble; Switched prediction; EXTREME LEARNING-MACHINE; TIME-SERIES; 3; GORGES; CONFIDENCE; MODEL; DEFORMATION; RESERVOIR; SYSTEMS;
D O I
10.1016/j.neucom.2018.02.046
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
This paper proposes a new hybrid approach for constructing high-quality prediction intervals (PIs) for landslide displacements. In the first stage, we develop an improved method to optimize bootstrap-based PIs. The improved method uses part of the selected neural networks (NNs) rather than all of the NNs to construct PIs. To guarantee computational efficiency, random vector functional link networks (RVFLNs) are adopted as predictors. In the second stage, to handle the mutational points in landslide displacement prediction, the improved method is integrated with a NN switched method. The effectiveness of the proposed hybrid method has been validated through comprehensive cases using two benchmark data sets and three real-world landslide data sets. (c) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 10
页数:10
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