Application of Information-Gap Decision Theory to Risk-Constrained Self-Scheduling of GenCos

被引:159
作者
Mohammadi-Ivatloo, Behnam [1 ]
Zareipour, Hamidreza [2 ]
Amjady, Nima [3 ]
Ehsan, Mehdi [1 ]
机构
[1] Sharif Univ Technol, Dept Elect Engn, Ctr Excellence Power Syst Management & Control, Tehran, Iran
[2] Univ Calgary, Dept Elect & Comp Engn, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, Canada
[3] Semnan Univ, Dept Elect Engn, Semnan 35195363, Iran
关键词
Electricity markets; information-gap decision theory (IGDT); price forecasts; self-scheduling; uncertainty; ELECTRICITY MARKET; UNCERTAINTY; PRODUCER; PROBABILITY; PROFIT; UNIT;
D O I
10.1109/TPWRS.2012.2212727
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
In a competitive electricity market, a generation company (GenCo) optimizes its operation schedules, referred to as self-scheduling, in order to maximize its profit. However, various sources of uncertainty, such as market price fluctuations or forced outage of generating units, may impact the GenCo's profit. In this paper, a non-probabilistic information-gap model is proposed to model the uncertainties in short-term scheduling of a GenCo. The self-scheduling problem is formulated for risk-neutral, risk-averse, and risk-seeker GenCos. Robustness of the decisions against low market prices are evaluated using a robustness model. Furthermore, windfall higher profit due to unpredicted higher market prices is modeled using an opportunity function. The proposed models are applied to a 54-unit thermal GenCo.
引用
收藏
页码:1093 / 1102
页数:10
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