Is the Demographic Dividend an Education Dividend?

被引：86

作者：

Cuaresma, Jesus Crespo ^{[1
]}

Lutz, Wolfgang ^{[2
]}

Sanderson, Warren ^{[2
,3
]}

机构：

[1] Vienna Univ Econ & Business, VID OAW, Wittgenstein Ctr Demog & Global Human Capital, IIASA,WU, A-1020 Vienna, Austria

[2] IIASA, VID OAW, Wittgenstein Ctr Demog & Global Human Capital, WU, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria

[3] SUNY Stony Brook, Dept Econ, Stony Brook, NY 11794 USA

来源：

DEMOGRAPHY | 2014年 / 51卷 / 01期

基金：

欧洲研究理事会;

关键词：

Demographic dividend; Economic growth; Education; Age structure; Education dividend; FERTILITY; ATTAINMENT; TRANSITION; COUNTRIES; GROWTH;

D O I：

10.1007/s13524-013-0245-x

中图分类号：

C921 [人口统计学];

学科分类号：

摘要：

The effect of changes in age structure on economic growth has been widely studied in the demography and population economics literature. The beneficial effect of changes in age structure after a decrease in fertility has become known as the "demographic dividend." In this article, we reassess the empirical evidence on the associations among economic growth, changes in age structure, labor force participation, and educational attainment. Using a global panel of countries, we find that after the effect of human capital dynamics is controlled for, no evidence exists that changes in age structure affect labor productivity. Our results imply that improvements in educational attainment are the key to explaining productivity and income growth and that a substantial portion of the demographic dividend is an education dividend.

引用

页码：299 / 315

页数：17

共 46 条

[1]

[Anonymous], 1990, Population, resources, environment: issues in human ecology

[2]

[Anonymous], 1986, Population Growth and Economic Development: Policy Ques- tions

[3] SOME TESTS OF SPECIFICATION FOR PANEL DATA - MONTE-CARLO EVIDENCE AND AN APPLICATION TO EMPLOYMENT EQUATIONS [J].