A New Oilfield Production Prediction Method Based On GM(1,n)

被引:9
|
作者
Liu, H. H. [1 ,2 ]
Liu, Z. B. [3 ]
Ding, X. F. [4 ]
机构
[1] Sichuan Coll Architectural Technol, Dept Comp Engn, Deyang, Peoples R China
[2] Southwest Petr Univ, Sch Petr Engn, Chengdu, Peoples R China
[3] Southwest Petr Univ, Grad Sch, Chengdu, Peoples R China
[4] Southwest Petr Univ, Sch Sci, Chengdu, Peoples R China
关键词
functional simulation; grey forecast model; neural network; oilfield production forecast; values updating; GREY SYSTEM-THEORY; NEURAL-NETWORK; ASPHALT; GAS;
D O I
10.1080/10916466.2011.585357
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
Oilfield production prediction is one of the most important contents in dynamic analysis of oilfield development. At first, the authors produce an improved neural network algorithm. It not only keeps the property of high predicting accuracy, but it also greatly improves the convergence rate by choosing a new searching direction. Then, by considering the shortcomings of the variation tendency of prediction indices, they combine it with the GM (1,1) prediction model and get a new functional simulation prediction method. At last, the authors put this new method into actual oilfield production prediction and gain good predicting results.
引用
收藏
页码:22 / 28
页数:7
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