Prevalence of Pathologic N2/N3 Disease in Postmenopausal Women with Clinical N0 ER+/HER2-Breast Cancer

Background The RxPONDER trial demonstrated that the 21-gene recurrence score can be used to guide adjuvant systemic therapy decisions in postmenopausal women with pN1 ER+/HER2- breast cancer. As such, a sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) may not provide systemic treatment-altering information for many patients, and omission of SLNB in patients with low probability of pN2/N3 disease could be considered. Methods Postmenopausal women (aged >= 50 years) diagnosed with cN0cM0, ER+/HER- breast cancer from 2013 to 2017 were identified in the National Cancer Database. The primary outcome was the prevalence of pN2/N3 disease. Results Of 325,692 postmenopausal women with cN0 ER+/HER2- breast cancer, 7106 (2.2%) were pN2/N3. In total, 81.7% had cT1 tumors, 16.8% T2, 1.3% T3, and 0.2% T4. In patients with T1 tumors, the prevalence of pN2/N3 disease was 1.2% compared with 17.2% in patients with T3/T4 tumors. In multivariable models, cT stage was the strongest predictor of pN2/N3 disease (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 14.9 [12.1-18.4]). Lobular histology (aOR 2.4 [2.3-2.6]), higher grade (aOR 2.9 [2.6-3.1]), and young age (aOR 1.5 [1.3-1.7]) were also associated with increased prevalence of pN2/N3. We created a model using histology, grade, and T stage that stratifies patients with low prevalence of pN2/3 disease (< 1%) and those at high risk (> 20%). Conclusions In postmenopausal women with cN0 ER+/HER2- breast cancer, the prevalence of pN2/N3 disease is low, indicating a potential opportunity to use the results of RxPONDER to extend criteria to omit SLNB. Prospective study is needed to determine safety, including risk of nodal recurrence, of omission of SLNB in carefully selected patients.