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Johnson Quantile-Parameterized Distributions (vol 14, pg 35, 2017)
被引:7
作者:
Hadlock, Christopher C.
Bickel, J. Eric
机构:
[1] Graduate Program in Operations Research and Industrial Engineering, University of Texas, Austin, Austin, 78712, TX
基金:
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词:
Decision analysis;
Modeling;
Quantile function;
Subjective probability;
Uncertainty;
D O I:
10.1287/deca.2016.0343
中图分类号:
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号:
12 ;
1201 ;
1202 ;
120202 ;
摘要:
It is common decision analysis practice to elicit quantiles of continuous uncertainties and then fit a continuous probability distribution to the corresponding probabilityquantile pairs. This process often requires curve fitting and the best-fit distribution will often not honor the assessed points. By strategically extending the Johnson Distribution System, we develop a new distribution system that honors any symmetric percentile triplet of quantile assessments (e.g., the 10th-50th-90th) in conjunction with specified support bounds. Further, our new system is directly parameterized by the assessed quantiles and support bounds, eliminating the need to apply a fitting procedure. Our new system is practical, flexible, and, as we demonstrate, able to match the shapes of numerous commonly named distributions.
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页码:64 / 64
页数:1
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