Demographic, Socioeconomic, Health Systems, and Geographic Factors Associated with Vaginal Birth After Cesarean: An Analysis of 2017 US Birth Certificate Data

Objectives In order to better understand the current rates of vaginal birth after cesarean (VBAC) in the United States, 2017 U.S. birth certificate data were used to examine sociodemographic and geographic factors associated with the outcome of a VBAC. Methods The 2017 Natality Limited Geography Dataset and block sequential logistic regression were used to examine sociodemographic and geographic factors associated with subsequent births in 2017 in the United States to women with a history of 1 or 2 cesareans (N = 540,711). Results The adjusted odds of VBAC were 6% higher for Black women (1.06; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.08) and 18% higher for American Indian/Alaska Native women (aOR 1.18; 95% CI: 1.10, 1.27) relative to white women. Asian/Pacific Islander women were 9% less likely to have a VBAC (aOR 0.91; 95% CI: 0.88, 0.94) than similar white women with a history of cesarean delivery. Latina women had a 10% less likelihood of a VBAC (aOR 0.90; 95% CI: 0.88, 0.92) when compared with non-Latina women. Women with a high school education (aOR 0.85; 95% CI: 0.83, 0.88) or some college (aOR 0.85; 95% CI: 0.84, 0.87) were less likely to have a VBAC than women educated at a baccalaureate level or higher. Women whose births were paid for by Medicaid had a 5% increased likelihood of VBAC over women with private insurance (aOR 1.05, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.07). Women who self-pay have twice the likelihood of VBAC (aOR 1.99; 95% CI: 1.92, 2.07) compared to women with private insurance. The adjusted odds of VBAC were lowest for women giving birth in Southern states (aOR 0.72; 95% CI: 0.71, 0.74) and highest for women giving birth in the Midwest (aOR 1.19; 95% CI: 1.16, 1.22) relative to women in the Northeastern U.S. Thirteen percent (13%) of women who had a VBAC had a certified nurse-midwife (CNM) birth attendant, which is 44% higher than the national CNM-attended birth rate. Conclusions for Practice Significant variation exists in VBAC rates based on a number of sociodemographic and geographic factors, likely reflecting disparities in access to vaginal birth after cesarean and differences in preference regarding mode of birth after cesarean. Further research is recommended to better understand and address these disparities to improve maternity care.