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How does economic policy uncertainty respond to permanent and transitory shocks?
被引:0
|作者:
Funashima, Yoshito
[1
,2
]
机构:
[1] Tohoku Gakuin Univ, Fac Econ, Sendai, Japan
[2] Tohoku Gakuin Univ, Fac Econ, 1-3-1 Tsuchitoi,Aoba Ku, Sendai, Miyagi 9808511, Japan
关键词:
economic policy uncertainty index;
media;
overreaction;
permanent shocks;
transitory shocks;
structural vector autoregressive analysis;
US;
COINTEGRATION;
DEMAND;
CREDIT;
IMPACT;
D O I:
10.1111/boer.12424
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
The widely used economic policy uncertainty index relies on newspaper reports' word count and may be influenced by media coverage biases. This empirical study explores the response of the economic policy uncertainty index to permanent and transitory shocks, which are identified using a structural vector autoregressive model. We find an overreaction in the economic policy uncertainty index to a permanent shock, suggesting media reporting's temporary overeagerness. Specifically, we demonstrate that the index responds negatively and transiently to a permanent shock, followed by reversed, prolonged responses. However, the negative and transient effects of a transitory shock on the index are milder.
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页码:267 / 282
页数:16
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