Mathematical modeling of cholera dynamics with intrinsic growth considering constant interventions

被引:3
作者
Brhane, Kewani Welay [1 ]
Ahmad, Abdulaziz Garba [2 ]
Hina, Hina [3 ]
Emadifar, Homan [4 ,5 ,6 ]
机构
[1] Mekelle Univ, Dept Math, Mekelle, Ethiopia
[2] Fed Univ Technol Babura, Dept Appl Math, Babura, Jigawa, Nigeria
[3] Women Univ Swabi, Dept Math & Stat, Swabi, Pakistan
[4] Saveetha Univ, Saveetha Inst Med & Tech Sci, Saveetha Sch Engn, Dept Math, Chennai 602105, Tamil Nadu, India
[5] Middle East Univ, MEU Res Unit, Amman, Jordan
[6] Islamic Azad Univ, Hamedan Branch, Dept Math, Hamadan, Iran
关键词
Basic reproduction number; Cholera dynamics; Intervention rates; Mathematical modeling; Stability analysis; GLOBAL-STABILITY; EPIDEMIC;
D O I
10.1038/s41598-024-55240-0
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
A mathematical model that describes the dynamics of bacterium vibrio cholera within a fixed population considering intrinsic bacteria growth, therapeutic treatment, sanitation and vaccination rates is developed. The developed mathematical model is validated against real cholera data. A sensitivity analysis of some of the model parameters is also conducted. The intervention rates are found to be very important parameters in reducing the values of the basic reproduction number. The existence and stability of equilibrium solutions to the mathematical model are also carried out using analytical methods. The effect of some model parameters on the stability of equilibrium solutions, number of infected individuals, number of susceptible individuals and bacteria density is rigorously analyzed. One very important finding of this research work is that keeping the vaccination rate fixed and varying the treatment and sanitation rates provide a rapid decline of infection. The fourth order Runge-Kutta numerical scheme is implemented in MATLAB to generate the numerical solutions.
引用
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页数:17
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