Fear of COVID-19 Effect on Stock Markets: A Proposal for an Algorithmic Trading System Based on Fear

被引:0
作者
Paule-Vianez, Jessica [1 ]
Orden-Cruz, Carmen [1 ]
Gomez-Martinez, Raul [1 ]
Escamilla-Solano, Sandra [1 ]
机构
[1] Rey Juan Carlos Univ, Business Econ Dept, Madrid 28933, Spain
关键词
COVID-19; fear; stock returns; Google Trends; algorithmic trading system; BIG DATA; BEHAVIOR; SEARCHES; MEDIA; RISK; NEWS;
D O I
10.3390/jtaer18020058
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This study analyzes the fear of COVID-19 effect on European stock market returns. For this purpose, the search volumes (SV) collected by Google Trends (GT) and Wikipedia were used as proxies of fear of COVID-19. In a sample from 13 European stock markets, fear of COVID-19 was found to be associated with negative European stock returns. Our research employed this observation to propose an algorithmic trading system based on fear of COVID-19. Back-testing results show the possibility of extraordinary returns based on this system. These findings have important implications for political authorities, the mass media, and investors.
引用
收藏
页码:1142 / 1156
页数:15
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