Low skeletal muscle quality extracted from CT is associated with poor outcomes in severe acute pancreatitis patients

Purpose: To evaluate the association between body composition parameters derived from computed tomography (CT) scans and clinical outcomes in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (AP).Methods: Patients who have been diagnosed AP with a CT scan at ICU admission were included. Body composition parameters were measured on a single slice at L2-3 of the unenhanced CT scans. The intermuscular adipose tissue (IMAT), visceral adipose tissue (VAT), skeletal muscle area (SMA) and skeletal muscle density (SMD) were assessed using HUs by image analysis software. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed to analyze the association between body composition parameters and clinical outcomes including all-cause mortality or prolonged ICU stay. The area under the curve (AUC) of a receiver operating characteristic curve was used to explore the predictive value of the body composition on treatment clinical outcomes.Results: A total of 158 patients were included. The IMAT (8.3 cm(2) vs 6.0 cm(2), P = 0.001) and VAT (190.3 cm(2) vs 143.7 cm(2), P < 0.001) were significantly higher in the severe AP group than in the moderately severe group, but were notassociatedwithoutcomes. For 1 HU of SMD increased, the risk of poor clinical outcomes decresed 11 % (adjusted OR 0.892, 95 %CI 0.806-0.987, P = 0.026), while an SMD below the median value (32.1 HU for males and 28.5 HU for females) was independently associated with worse outcomes in the multivariable analysis (adjusted OR 8.868, 95 % CI 2.146-36.650, P = 0.003). The SMD had a good predictive ability for clinical outcomes, AUC was 0.824 (95 % CI, 0.715-0.933) for males and 0.803 (95 % CI, 0.639-0.967) for females.Conclusion: Low SMD was associated with poor outcomes in patients with severe and moderately severe AP and might be used as a novel marker to predict outcomes in patients suffering from severe and moderately severe AP.