The volatility index and volatility risk premium in China

被引:2
作者
Yue, Tian [1 ]
Ruan, Xinfeng [2 ]
Gehricke, Sebastian [3 ]
Zhang, Jin E. [3 ]
机构
[1] Chongqing Jiaotong Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Chongqing 400074, Peoples R China
[2] Xian Jiaotong Liverpool Univ, Int Business Sch Suzhou, Dept Finance, Suzhou 215000, Peoples R China
[3] Univ Otago, Otago Business Sch, Dept Accountancy & Finance, Dunedin 9054, New Zealand
关键词
Model-free Volatility Index; ETF Options; Volatility Risk Premium; Emerging option market; China; EXPECTED STOCK RETURNS; IMPLIED VOLATILITY; MARKET VOLATILITY; OPTION PRICES; INFERENCE; MODEL; SMIRK; FEAR; US;
D O I
10.1016/j.qref.2023.07.004
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We introduce the China Volatility Index (CNVIX), a model-free volatility index for the Chinese equity market based on ETF options. To construct the CNVIX, we extend the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) methodology in the emerging Chinese options market. We examine the leverage effect and volatility feedback effect between the CNVIX and the underlying asset, as well as the CNVIX's return forecastability. Our findings indicate a significant negative asymmetric leverage effect, insignificant volatility feedback effect in the CNVIX, and a positive mean volatility risk premium (VRP), which can forecast the underlying asset's returns over various horizons.
引用
收藏
页码:40 / 55
页数:16
相关论文
共 73 条
  • [1] [Anonymous], 1999, GOLDMAN SACHS QUANTI
  • [2] Quantile Regression Analysis of the Asymmetric Return-Volatility Relation
    Badshah, Ihsan Ullah
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FUTURES MARKETS, 2013, 33 (03) : 235 - 265
  • [3] Delta-hedged gains and the negative market volatility risk premium
    Bakshi, G
    Kapadia, N
    [J]. REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 2003, 16 (02) : 527 - 566
  • [4] A theory of volatility spreads
    Bakshi, Gurdip
    Madan, Dilip
    [J]. MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 2006, 52 (12) : 1945 - 1956
  • [5] Bakshi Gurdip., 2003, J DERIV, V11, P45, DOI DOI 10.3905/jod.2003.319210
  • [6] Volatility Spreads and Expected Stock Returns
    Bali, Turan G.
    Hovakimian, Armen
    [J]. MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 2009, 55 (11) : 1797 - 1812
  • [7] How Important Is Financial Risk?
    Bartram, Soehnke M.
    Brown, Gregory W.
    Waller, William
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL AND QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS, 2015, 50 (04) : 801 - 824
  • [8] Post-'87 crash fears in the S&P 500 futures option market
    Bates, DS
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2000, 94 (1-2) : 181 - 238
  • [9] The structure and degree of dependence: A quantile regression approach
    Baur, Dirk G.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 2013, 37 (03) : 786 - 798
  • [10] Asymmetric volatility and risk in equity markets
    Bekaert, G
    Wu, GJ
    [J]. REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 2000, 13 (01) : 1 - 42