Normative value of hyperopia reserve and myopic shift in Chinese children and adolescents aged 3-16 years

Background This research aims to generate normative values of hyperopia reserve and refractive progression as effective tools to estimate the risk of myopia. Methods A 1-year follow-up study was conducted among Chinese children and adolescents aged 3-16 years selected from schools and kinder gardens using cluster sampling. All participants underwent examinations including visual acuity, axial length and cycloplegic autorefraction (1% cyclopentolate). Percentiles of spherical equivalent (SE) were calculated using Lambda-Mu-Sigma (LMS) method. Age-specific refractive progression and hyperopia reserve were determined by backward calculation. Results Of 3118 participants, 1702 (54.6%) were boys with a mean baseline age of 7.30 years. The 50th percentile of SE estimated by LMS decreased from 1.04 D at 3 years to -2.04 D at 16 years in boys, while from 1.29 D to -2.81 D in girls. The 1-year refractive progression of myopes (0.81 D) was greater than that of non-myopes (0.51 D). The normative value of hyperopia reserve was 2.64 (range: 2.40 D-2.88 D) at 3 years and -0.35 (range: -0.50 to -0.17) D at 16 years, with the maximum progression of 0.35 D at the age of 6 years. Conclusion Age-specific normative values of hyperopia reserve and yearly myopic shift in children and adolescents aged 3-16 years were provided, helping identify and monitor myopia and giving prevention in advance.