Blockchain metrics and indicators in cryptocurrency trading

被引:4
作者
King, Juan C. [1 ]
Dale, Roberto [1 ]
Amigo, Jose M. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Miguel Hernandez, Ctr Invest Operat, Ave Univ s-n, Elche 03202, Spain
关键词
Time series; Blockchain; Bitcoin; Cryptocurrency; Hash ribbon; Hash rate; Algorithmic trading; Prediction; Machine learning; Adaptive markets; Fundamental analysis; Technical analysis; Mathematical indicators;
D O I
10.1016/j.chaos.2023.114305
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
The objective of this paper is the construction of new indicators that can be useful to operate in the cryptocurrency market. These indicators are based on public data obtained from the blockchain network, specifically from the nodes that make up Bitcoin mining. Therefore, our analysis is unique to that network. The results obtained with numerical simulations of algorithmic trading and prediction via statistical models and Machine Learning demonstrate the importance of variables such as the hash rate, the difficulty of mining or the cost per transaction when it comes to trade Bitcoin assets or predict the direction of price. Variables obtained from the blockchain network will be called here blockchain metrics. The corresponding indicators (inspired by the "Hash Ribbon") perform well in locating buy signals. From our results, we conclude that such blockchain indicators allow obtaining information with a statistical advantage in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market.
引用
收藏
页数:15
相关论文
共 24 条
  • [1] Bollinger J., 1992, Stocks & Commodities, V10, P47, DOI DOI 10.1111/J.1365-2044.1992.TB03213.X
  • [2] Caprile C, 2020, Hash ribbon
  • [3] A multi-layer and multi-ensemble stock trader using deep learning and deep reinforcement learning
    Carta, Salvatore
    Corriga, Andrea
    Ferreira, Anselmo
    Podda, Alessandro Sebastian
    Recupero, Diego Reforgiato
    [J]. APPLIED INTELLIGENCE, 2021, 51 (02) : 889 - 905
  • [4] A New Coefficient of Correlation
    Chatterjee, Sourav
    [J]. JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 2021, 116 (536) : 2009 - 2022
  • [5] Learning and predictability via technical analysis: Evidence from bitcoin and stocks with hard-to-value fundamentals
    Detzel, Andrew
    Liu, Hong
    Strauss, Jack
    Zhou, Guofu
    Zhu, Yingzi
    [J]. FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, 2021, 50 (01) : 107 - 137
  • [6] Dev JA, 2014, CAN CON EL COMP EN
  • [7] Edwards RD., 2018, Technical Analysis of Stock Trends, DOI DOI 10.4324/9781315115719
  • [8] EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS - REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK
    FAMA, EF
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 1970, 25 (02) : 383 - 423
  • [9] Does the Hashrate Affect the Bitcoin Price?
    Fantazzini, Dean
    Kolodin, Nikita
    [J]. JOURNAL OF RISK AND FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, 2020, 13 (11)
  • [10] DEEP LEARNING FOR STOCK MARKET TRADING: A SUPERIOR TRADING STRATEGY?
    Fister, D.
    Mun, J. C.
    Jagric, V
    Jagric, T.
    [J]. NEURAL NETWORK WORLD, 2019, 29 (03) : 151 - 171