Outcomes of Patients with an Intermediate-Risk Group According to the Japanese Risk Classification of Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Background The management of intermediate-risk group of papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is still vague, particularly regarding whether or not total thyroidectomy, postoperative radioactive iodine ablation (RAI-a), and postoperative TSH suppression are mandatory. Methods This retrospective study evaluated 680 PTC patients from 2010 to 2017, who were classified into the three risk groups as low, intermediate, and high-risk groups according to the criteria of the Japanese Association of Endocrine Surgeons (JAES) 2010 and underwent surgery according to the JAES guidelines. We retrospectively collected patient data for analyses of disease-free survivals in the intermediate-risk group patients. Results We performed surgery on 680 PTC patients from 2010 to 2017. Of them, 297 were classified as the intermediate-risk group. DFS was not statistically significantly different in patients with/without total thyroidectomy and postoperative TSH suppression therapy. For RAI-a, DFS (95% confidence interval) at 3, 5, and 8 years were 93.2% (84.6 similar to 97.2), 81.6% (68,3 similar to 90.2), and 70.7% (51.4 similar to 84.6) in patients with postoperative RAI-a and 100%, 100%, and 100% in patients without postoperative RAI-a after total thyroidectomy, respectively. DFS of patients without RAI-a was superior to those with RAI-a (P < 0.0004). Multivariable analysis by stepwise selection method revealed that postoperative RAI-a was a risk factor with a hazard ratio of 5.69. (95% CI 1.998-16.21) (P = 0.001131). Conclusions Our study did not show the efficacy of RAI-a in patients with intermediate-risk PTC. This study implies that judging the efficacy of adjuvant therapy such as RAI or TSh suppression in intermediate-risk patients is difficult.