Secular stagnation: Is immigration part of the solution?

被引:1
作者
Alves, Jose [1 ,2 ]
Morgado, Sandro [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Lisbon, ISEG Lisbon Sch Econ & Management, Lisbon, Portugal
[2] UECE Res Unit Complex & Econ, REM Res Econ & Math, Lisbon, Portugal
关键词
economic stagnation; financial crisis; immigration; monetary policy; secular stagnation; AGE; GROWTH;
D O I
10.1002/jid.3866
中图分类号
F0 [经济学]; F1 [世界各国经济概况、经济史、经济地理]; C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
0201 ; 020105 ; 03 ; 0303 ;
摘要
We review the secular stagnation hypothesis, first postulated by Hansen in 1939, to describe the current macroeconomic dynamics faced by developed economies. We argue that these economies are experiencing secular stagnation and that demographic factors play a significant role in this macroeconomic environment. Using a panel data analysis covering the period 1965-2020 for 15 European Union economies, our paper suggests that immigration should be considered as a potential solution to this problem. Our results show that demographic factors do indeed play a significant role in secular stagnation and that immigration has a positive impact in this macroeconomic context.
引用
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页码:1426 / 1449
页数:24
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