Type-2 diabetes mellitus remission prediction models after Roux-En-Y gastric bypass and sleeve gastrectomy based on disease severity scores

Aim: Metabolic and bariatric surgery (MBS) is considered one of the most effective interventions for weight loss and associated type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) remission. Multiple scores including the Individualized Metabolic Surgery (IMS), DiaRem, advanced DiaRem, and Robert et al. scores, have been developed predict T2DM remission after MBS. We aim to validate each of these scores in our cohort of patients undergoing MBS with longterm follow-up and assess their efficacy based on procedure type and preoperative BMI. Methods: We conducted a multicenter cohort study including patients with T2DM undergoing either Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) or sleeve gastrectomy (SG). Areas under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve (AUC) were calculated to assess the discriminatory ability of the four models to detect T2DM remission. Results: A total of 503 patients (67 % females, mean age 53.5 [11] years, BMI 46.2 [8.8] kg/m2) with T2DM were included. The majority (78 %) underwent RYGB, while the rest (28 %) had SG. All four scores predicted T2DM remission in our cohort with an ROC AUC of 0.79 for IMS, 0.78 for both DiaRem and advanced-DiaRem, and 0.75 for Robert et al. score. Specific subgroups for each of these scores demonstrated higher T2DM remission rates after RYGB compared to SG. Conclusion: We demonstrate the ability of the IMS, DiaRem, advanced-DiaRem and Robert et al. scores to predict T2DM remission in patients undergoing MBS. T2DM remission rates was demonstrated to decrease with more severe IMS, DiaRem and advanced-DiaRem scores and lower Robert et al. scores.