Nonlinear time-series forecasts for decision support: short-term demand for ICU beds in Santiago, Chile, during the 2021 COVID-19 pandemic

被引：5

作者：

Quiroga, Bernardo F. ^{[1
]}

Alberto Vasquez, Cristian ^{[1
]}

Ignacia Vicuna, Maria ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Pontificia Univ Catolica Chile, Sch Management, Av Vicuna Mackenna 4860, Santiago 7820436, RM, Chile

来源：

INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS IN OPERATIONAL RESEARCH | 2023年 / 30卷 / 06期

关键词：

COVID-19; modeling biological systems; infectious disease dynamics; time series forecasting; RICHARDS MODEL;

D O I：

10.1111/itor.13222

中图分类号：

C93 [管理学];

学科分类号：

12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;

摘要：

In Chile, due to the explosive increase of new Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases during the first part of 2021, the ability of health services to accommodate new incoming cases was jeopardized. It has become necessary to be able to manage intensive care unit (ICU) capacity, and for this purpose, monitoring both the evolution of new cases and the demand for ICU beds has become urgent. This paper presents short-term forecast models for the number of new cases and the number of COVID-19 patients admitted to ICUs in the Metropolitan Region in Chile.

引用

页码：3400 / 3428

页数：29

共 50 条

[21] Out-of-home food environment and the COVID-19 pandemic: an interrupted time-series analysis in England 2019–2021
Huasheng Xiang
Louis Goffe
Viviana Albani
Nasima Akhter
Amelia Lake
Heather Brown
SN Business & Economics, 3 (9):
[22] Impacts of traffic data on short-term residential load forecasting before and during the COVID-19 pandemic
Chaianong, Aksornchan
Winzer, Christian
Gellrich, Mario
ENERGY STRATEGY REVIEWS, 2022, 43
[23] Cardiac manifestations and short-term outcomes of multisystem inflammatory syndrome in Middle Eastern children during the COVID-19 pandemic: a case series
Tannoury, Theresia E.
Bulbul, Ziad R.
Bitar, Fadi F.
CARDIOLOGY IN THE YOUNG, 2022, 32 (01) : 165 - 168
[24] Clinical presentation and short-term outcomes of multisystemic inflammatory syndrome in children in Lagos, Nigeria during the COVID-19 pandemic: A case series
Sokunbi, Ogochukwu
Akinbolagbe, Yeside
Akintan, Patricia
Oyeleke, Gabriel
Kusimo, Olusola
Owowo, Uchenna
Olonade, Eyitayo
Ojo, Olajide
Ikhazobor, Esieza
Amund, Oluwatosin
Ogbuokiri, Eucharia
Funsho-Adebayo, Mercy
Adeniyi, Oluwatoyin
Uzodimma, Chinyere
Lamina, Moriam
Animashaun, Adeola
Osinaike, Babayemi
Ekure, Ekanem
Okoromah, Christy
ECLINICALMEDICINE, 2022, 49
[25] The changing determinants of tourists' repurchase intention: the case of short-term rentals during the COVID-19 pandemic
Braje, Ivana Nacinovic
Pechurina, Anna
Bicakcioglu-Peynirci, Nilay
Miguel, Cristina
Alonso-Almeida, Maria del Mar
Giglio, Carlo
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY HOSPITALITY MANAGEMENT, 2022, 34 (01) : 159 - 183
[26] An NLP-assisted Bayesian time-series analysis for prevalence of Twitter cyberbullying during the COVID-19 pandemic
Perez, Christopher
Karmakar, Sayar
SOCIAL NETWORK ANALYSIS AND MINING, 2023, 13 (01)
[27] Emergency Dispatches for Suicide Attempts during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Okayama, Japan: An Interrupted Time-series Analysis
Yamamura, Yuka
Matsumoto, Naomi
Takao, Soshi
Yorifuji, Takashi
JMA JOURNAL, 2024, 7 (03): : 418 - 422
[28] An NLP-assisted Bayesian time-series analysis for prevalence of Twitter cyberbullying during the COVID-19 pandemic
Christopher Perez
Sayar Karmakar
Social Network Analysis and Mining, 13
[29] Impacts of traffic data on short-term residential load forecasting before and during the COVID-19 pandemic
Chaianong, Aksornchan
Winzer, Christian
Gellrich, Mario
ENERGY STRATEGY REVIEWS, 2022, 43
[30] Time-Series Trends of Depressive Levels of Korean Adults During the 2020 COVID-19 Pandemic in South Korea
Kim, Seok-Joo
Sohn, Sunju
Choi, Yun-Kyeung
Hyun, Jinhee
Kim, Heeguk
Lee, Jong -Sun
Lee, So Hee
Lee, Yu-Ri
Paik, Jong -Woo
PSYCHIATRY INVESTIGATION, 2023, 20 (02) : 101 - 108

← 1 2 3 4 5 →