asymmetric cointegration;
gold price;
inflation hedge;
MSI-VAR(1) model;
the US dollar;
Vietnam;
EXCHANGE-RATE;
US INFLATION;
TIME-SERIES;
GOLD;
COINTEGRATION;
PRICES;
RATES;
D O I:
10.3390/economies11030094
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
Vietnam has experienced galloping inflation and faced serious dollarization since its reform. To effectively control inflation for promoting price stability, it is necessary to find efficacious leading indicators and a hedging mechanism. Using monthly data over the period from January 1997 to June 2020, this study finds the predictive power and hedge effectiveness of both gold and the US dollar on inflation in the long-run and short-run within the asymmetric framework. Especially, the response of inflation to the shocks of gold price and the US dollar is quick and decisive, disclosing the sensitivity of inflation to these two variables.
机构:
Montpellier Business Sch, Montpellier, FranceMontpellier Business Sch, Montpellier, France
Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain
Mensi, Walid
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机构:
Univ Tunis El Manar, Dept Finance & Accounting, Tunis, Tunisia
Sultan Qaboos Univ, Coll Econ & Polit Sci, Dept Econ & Finance, Muscat, OmanMontpellier Business Sch, Montpellier, France
Mensi, Walid
Hammoudeh, Shawkat
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机构:
Drexel Univ, Lebow Coll Business, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA
Montpellier Business Sch, ESD, Montpellier, FranceMontpellier Business Sch, Montpellier, France
Hammoudeh, Shawkat
Sohail, Asiya
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机构:
Fdn Univ, Islamabad, PakistanMontpellier Business Sch, Montpellier, France
Sohail, Asiya
Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Sultan Qaboos Univ, Coll Econ & Polit Sci, Dept Econ & Finance, Muscat, OmanMontpellier Business Sch, Montpellier, France