Dynamic-risk-informed safety barrier management: An application to cost-effective barrier optimization based on data from multiple sources

被引:11
作者
Yuan, Shuaiqi [1 ]
Reniers, Genserik [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Yang, Ming [1 ,4 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Delft Univ Technol, Fac Technol Policy & Management, Safety & Secur Sci Sect, Delft, Netherlands
[2] Univ Antwerp, Fac Appl Econ, Antwerp Res Grp Safety & Secur ARGoSS, B-2000 Antwerp, Belgium
[3] KULeuven, CEDON, B-1000 Brussels, Belgium
[4] Univ Teknol Malaysia, Inst Future Energy, Ctr Hydrogen Energy, Utm Johor Bahru 81310, Johor, Malaysia
[5] Univ Tasmania, Australia Maritime Coll, Natl Ctr Maritime Engn & Hydrodynam, Launceston, Tas, Australia
关键词
Safety barrier management; Dynamic risk assessment; Cost-effectiveness analysis; Bayesian updating; Safety barrier degradation; Condition monitoring; BAYESIAN NETWORK; PERFORMANCE; MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.jlp.2023.105034
中图分类号
TQ [化学工业];
学科分类号
0817 ;
摘要
An integrated approach for performance assessment and management of safety barriers in a systemic manner is needed concerning the prevention and mitigation of major accidents in chemical process industries. Particularly, the effects of safety barriers on system risk reduction should be assessed in a dynamic manner to support the decision-making on safety barrier establishments and improvements. A simulation approach, named Simulink-based Safety Barrier Modeling (SSBM), is proposed in this paper to conduct dynamic risk assessment of chem-ical facilities with the consideration of the degradation of safety barriers. The main functional features of the SSBM include i) the basic model structures of SSBM can be determined based on bow-tie diagrams, ii) multiple data (periodic proof test data, continuous condition-monitoring data, and accident precursor data) may be combined to update barrier failure probabilities and initiating event probabilities, iii) SSBM is able to handle uncertainty propagation in probabilistic risk assessment by using Monte Carlo simulations, and iv) cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) and optimization algorithms are integrated to support the decision-making on safety barrier establishments and improvements. An illustrative case study is demonstrated to show the pro-cedures of applying the SSBM on dynamic risk-informed safety barrier management and validate the feasibility of implementing the SSBM for cost-effective safety barrier optimization.
引用
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页数:15
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