The role of atmospheric rivers in the distribution of heavy precipitation events over North America

被引:10
作者
Vallejo-Bernal, Sara M. [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Wolf, Frederik [1 ,2 ]
Boers, Niklas [1 ,2 ,4 ,5 ,6 ]
Traxl, Dominik [1 ,2 ]
Marwan, Norbert [1 ,2 ]
Kurths, Juergen [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, POB 60 12 03, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany
[2] Leibniz Assoc, POB 60 12 03, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany
[3] Univ Potsdam, Inst Geosci, D-14476 Potsdam, Germany
[4] Tech Univ Munich, Sch Engn & Design, Earth Syst Modelling, D-85521 Ottobrunn, Germany
[5] Univ Exeter, Global Syst Inst, Exeter EX4 4QF, England
[6] Univ Exeter, Dept Math, Exeter EX4 4QF, England
关键词
EXTREME PRECIPITATION; COMPLEX NETWORKS; WEST-COAST; MOISTURE; RAINFALL; ALGORITHM; FREQUENCY; PATTERNS; STRENGTH; LANDFALL;
D O I
10.5194/hess-27-2645-2023
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are filaments of extensive water vapor transport in the lower troposphere that play a crucial role in the distribution of freshwater but can also cause natural and economic damage by facilitating heavy precipitation. Here, we investigate the large-scale spatiotemporal synchronization patterns of heavy precipitation events (HPEs) over the western coast and the continental regions of North America (NA), during the period from 1979 to 2018. In particular, we use event synchronization and a complex network approach incorporating varying delays to examine the temporal evolution of spatial patterns of HPEs in the aftermath of land-falling ARs. For that, we employ the SIO-R1 catalog of ARs that landfall on the western coast of NA, ranked in terms of intensity and persistence on an AR-strength scale which varies from level AR1 to AR5, along with daily precipitation estimates from ERA5 with a 0:25 degrees spatial resolution. Our analysis reveals a cascade of synchronized HPEs, triggered by ARs of level AR3 or higher. On the first 3 d after an AR makes landfall, HPEs mostly occur and synchronize along the western coast of NA. In the subsequent days, moisture can be transported to central and eastern Canada and cause synchronized but delayed HPEs there. Furthermore, we confirm the robustness of our findings with an additional AR catalog based on a different AR detection method. Finally, analyzing the anomalies of integrated water vapor transport, geopotential height, upper-level meridional wind, and precipitation, we find atmospheric circulation patterns that are consistent with the spatiotemporal evolution of
引用
收藏
页码:2645 / 2660
页数:16
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