Global scaling of precipitation extremes using near-surface air temperature and dew point temperature

Global warming has altered the energy budget and water cycle processes of the land-atmosphere system, which has resulted in significant effects on precipitation extremes. Previous studies have identified a hook structure between near-surface temperature and precipitation extremes, in which extremes increase with temperature rises and decline thereafter. However, the underlying physical mechanisms of this association remain poorly understood. In this study, global-scale responses of precipitation extremes to near-surface air temperature (SAT) and dew point temperature (DPT) were quantified using the ERA5 reanalysis dataset. The results reveal a hook structure between precipitation extremes scaling and temperature, for both SAT and DPT, over many regions worldwide. The peak point temperature (T (pp)) ranges from 15 degrees C to 25 degrees C, increasing as latitude decreased. The association of precipitation extremes with SAT is negative in many areas in the tropics, whereas that with DPT is almost always positive; this suggests that moisture supply is the main factor limiting precipitation at higher surface temperatures. The hook structure and scaling rates incompatible with Clausius-Clapeyron scaling are associated with various factors including precipitation duration, total column water vapour, convective available potential energy, and relative humidity.